Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.035688 0.041390 0.047716 0.055257 0.064007 0.073842 0.085745
2025-12-28 0.027221 0.034803 0.044070 0.056238 0.071815 0.091115 0.116895
2026-01-04 0.021925 0.030199 0.041087 0.056483 0.077739 0.106121 0.147027
2026-01-11 0.018330 0.026835 0.038724 0.056589 0.082834 0.120102 0.177294
2026-01-18 0.015902 0.024536 0.037250 0.057386 0.088594 0.135337 0.211075
2026-01-25 0.014194 0.022948 0.036452 0.058863 0.095304 0.152542 0.249915
2026-02-01 0.012136 0.020465 0.033863 0.057059 0.096444 0.161031 0.275859
2026-02-08 0.010726 0.018806 0.032317 0.056641 0.099635 0.173011 0.308922
2026-02-15 0.009529 0.017325 0.030838 0.056073 0.102378 0.184408 0.342284
2026-02-22 0.008740 0.016445 0.030262 0.056972 0.107750 0.200937 0.386921
2026-03-01 0.007896 0.015343 0.029134 0.056676 0.110816 0.213543 0.425731
2026-03-08 0.007011 0.014046 0.027476 0.055134 0.111255 0.221159 0.455692
2026-03-15 0.006216 0.012836 0.025859 0.053519 0.111439 0.228494 0.486535
2026-03-22 0.005795 0.012329 0.025570 0.054553 0.117158 0.247664 0.544724
2026-03-29 0.005345 0.011701 0.024952 0.054808 0.121254 0.263955 0.598941
2026-04-05 0.004932 0.011097 0.024307 0.054915 0.125019 0.279965 0.654686
2026-04-12 0.004617 0.010669 0.023986 0.055688 0.130354 0.300053 0.722503
2026-04-19 0.004382 0.010391 0.023959 0.057122 0.137378 0.324812 0.804761
2026-04-26 0.003946 0.009590 0.022647 0.055371 0.136637 0.331393 0.843654
2026-05-03 0.003644 0.009071 0.021933 0.054967 0.139103 0.345919 0.904425
2026-05-10 0.003363 0.008570 0.021198 0.054415 0.141127 0.359591 0.964883
2026-05-17 0.003189 0.008315 0.021034 0.055287 0.146894 0.383370 1.055351
2026-05-24 0.002967 0.007911 0.020452 0.055000 0.149585 0.399554 1.127486